Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Novak Notes 2008 Dates

"The 2008 primary calendar may look something like this:

Possible 2008 Primary Schedule

(New Hampshire: See below)
January 14 -- Iowa Caucus
January 19 -- Nevada Democratic Caucus
January 29 -- Florida
February 2 -- South Carolina Primary
February 5 -- Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Delaware, Illinois, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, West Virginia Convention
February 9 -- Louisiana
February 12 -- Tennessee
February 19 -- Minnesota, Wisconsin
March 4 -- Connecticut, Georgia, Maryland, Massachusetts, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont
March 11 -- Florida, Mississippi, Washington
April 15 -- Alaska, Colorado
April 26 -- Kansas, Nevada
May 6 -- Indiana
May 10 -- Wyoming
May 13 -- Nebraska
May 20 -- Kentucky, Oregon
May 27 -- Idaho
June 3 -- South Dakota
June 6 -- Hawaii, Virginia
June 9 -- Montana

Of some interest is the status of New Hampshire, which is omitted above. Democrats are trying to isolate New Hampshire by removing its "Big Two" status with Iowa, but that is not likely to work. Democrats are trying to increase Nevada's significance by moving its contest to number two, but New Hampshire's state government is capable of moving its primary very quickly, and could do so at such a late date that Democratic officials will be powerless to stop them from going before Nevada.

That aside, the main point here is that the big states are being moved forward, so everything will probably be decided on or around Super Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2008." Robert D. Novak